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Social media addiction techniques

This post describes well the interaction design principles perfected by social media services to build anxiety, fear of missing out and dopamine rewards: https://medium.com/swlh/user-engagement-is-code-for-addiction-a2f50d36d7ac

Ultimately, the writer asks:

When looking back at this era of humanity future humans will say, “How could they have just scrolled and scrolled all day? Didn’t they know what it was doing to them?” Social media is the new cigarettes. Everyone does it, it’s addictive, it’s harmful, and you should quit.

There are no pathbreaking revelations here, just well known ones laid out as plainly as can be for you and me to see.

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Apple / Taiwan / China / India

In the context of Apple lobbying the Indian government to improve incentives for moving some manufacturing there:

Apple assembles a bulk of its iPads in China, but is fast diversifying production to markets such as India and Vietnam to minimise the impact of the U.S.-China trade war and the coronavirus crisis…

It was not immediately clear which of Apple’s three contractors in India – Foxconn, Wistron and Pegatron – would assemble iPads.

– Apple lobbies for India incentives as it plans iPad assembly: sources

It’s interesting that each of these three companies is an Indian subsidiary of a Taiwanese manufacturer. And that each of these companies has had factories in China for a long time now. And that China and Taiwan have a strained relationship, to put it mildly.

It’s going to be interesting watching corporation-states and nation-states interact this century.

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Is crypto mining the killer app for renewable energy?

It seems to me that the most aggressive use of renewable energy is actually is going to be to mine cryptocurrency.

The author of this twitter thread cites a number of sources to show that renewables account for ~78% of the energy used to mine bitcoin:

As this article in an oil-industry-focused website says,

Gazpromneft recently began a cryptocurrency mining operation based in one of its Siberian oil drilling sites, “unlocking the power of Russia’s oil and gas resources for the needs of bitcoin mining”… Instead of paying a premium to use energy from the grid, locating the cryptocurrency mining on-site at an oil field means that a steady supply of natural gas is virtually free.

Also, generation of renewable energy is independent of demand: the sun shines regardless of whether there is demand or not. Similarly, there will be unusually windy days or stormy seas.

Now, humanity hasn’t yet cracked the problem of large-scale energy storage as of 2021. Which means at times when energy from renewable sources outstrips demand, energy is simply ‘wasted’.

People quickly figured that mining cryptocurrency is an excellent way to harness that excess energy. Indeed, as the well-argued shareholder letter of the new Norwegian crypto investment company Seetee says, [PDF]

Seetee will establish mining operations that transfer stranded or intermittent electricity without stable demand locally—wind, solar, hydro power— to economic assets that can be used anywhere. Bitcoin is, in our eyes, a load-balancing economic battery, and batteries are essential to the energy transition required to reach the targets of the Paris Agreement. Our ambition is to be a valuable partner in new renewable projects.

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Sustainable iPad accessories – Part 2

(Part 1 – what I mean by sustainable accessories)

From yesterday’s post,

Three, it needs to be long-lasting. Specifically, I’m not a fan of accessories that need proprietary software to work… need to connect to the internet to work… have built-in batteries in them.

It’s this constraint (can you really call it that?) that leaves no good options today.

  • Mice with proprietary bluetooth dongles don’t always work with the iPad. And it’s not clear which ones support multitouch at all, and even when they do, which multitouch gestures
  • Apple’s own second-generation Magic Mouse and Magic Trackpad, which – unlike the first-generation ones – support multitouch, have a built-in battery, and as this iFixit teardown shows, it’s really not easy to get to it, leave alone replace it.

That leaves my ancient (by computing standards) IBM optical mouse from 2005.

This is from before IBM sold its consumer hardware division (including Thinkpads)to Lenovo.

The mouse plugs into an external powered USB hub that itself connects to the iPad via the USB-A port of the multi-port dongle. This way the mouse doesn’t draw power from the iPad.

The mouse has no power source or battery. It is wired and needs no software to work. Its LED will be one of the last components to fail – one of the buttons or the scroll wheel will likely go first.

Now it doesn’t support multitouch per se, but I can simulate swipe up and down with the scroll wheel, and swipe left and right with shift + scroll. And I can manipulate split view with the grab-bars on the top of the left and right windows, resize with the vertical grab-bar. Along with left and right click, it’s brought down the need to use the touchscreen down to a minimum.

But it’s still nowhere close to the slick multitouch experience of the first-generation Magic Trackpad on Mac OS, or the iPad’s touchscreen itself.

End note: It’s unfortunate that more manufacturers – and Apple in particular – don’t make either wired versions of their products or wireless versions with replaceable batteries. Most computer accessories don’t need to be any thinner or lighter. They do, however, need to last much longer than they do today. With Apple’s build quality, its accessories should last a couple of decades at least. It’s too bad the battery is the limiting factor.

(ends)

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The possible future

https://twitter.com/Ben_Reinhardt/status/1302657377573965832
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Like a river returning to its source

“There is another lineage of sorts, and in a sense we all belong to it. We are connected to this lineage, whether we like it or not. I discovered it in the back room of a bookstore one summer afternoon. I had nothing to do that day, so I walked over to a used bookstore. Once inside, I went over to the religious, spiritual, and psychological section. There were stacks and stacks of books that had just arrived. Hundreds and hundreds of books, all on the subjects that I loved. I was a kid in a candy store.

As I piled up the books I wanted to buy, I noticed that the same name was written in black marker along the binding of each book. RON COHEN the writing said in BIG letters. I paused for a second and looked at the wall of books. It was a mountain! And all of them had the same name on them: Ron Cohen.

When I brought the books over to the counter, I asked the guy who Ron Cohen was. “Oh, him,” he said, “he’s dead. He was a religious “Studies teacher at Illinois State. He taught for forty years, and his family brought them in after he died.”

The rest of the day I thought about that. Here was a man who read all those books. Having lived a long life, he “brought all that knowledge into an understanding, and he must have conveyed that unique understanding in his teachings. Having come together in him, this understanding has now dispersed, like a river returning to its source, without a trace or track. All that was left was a pile of books—that I now own. And one day, someone else will own them.”

– Tying Rocks To Clouds : Meetings and conversations with wise and spiritual people, William Elliott, 1995

(Featured Image Photo Credit: Nick West/Unsplash)

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The not-often-talked-about risk of climate change to the financial system

This interview with a lecturer in finance at Harvard business school talks about the impact of climate change on the financial system, a linkage not often made – so far, at least. Specifically, the lecturer posits that insurers don’t yet accurately price the risk of extreme weather events due to climate change. Therefore, many properties are being built today in the USA in high-climate-risk zones that are under-insured for these climate events. That low insurance encourages property buying, causing property prices in these high risk areas to rise. People paying more for houses in such areas are at risk of financial ruin should they lose those houses without adequate insurance coverage.

What’s also notable is the parallels the lecturer draws to the financial instruments that causes the 2008 financial crisis, which was also linked to housing in the USA:

Homeowners buy their property/casualty and fire/flood insurance policies through brand-name companies, such as Allstate or Progressive. But these companies often don’t retain all of the exposure to pay for loss events. In particular, they don’t mind being exposed if say one house burns down – the other premiums collected cover that cost.

But if an entire county or part of a state gets hit hard by a hurricane, they can’t cover losses to all of those homes on their own. They often contract, in bulk, with another tier of insurers called reinsurance companies. These firms include giant but lesser-known companies like Swiss Re, Munich Re, and General Re. Those international firms attempt to spread their exposure across the globe and across many categories of peril like tornado, hurricane, earthquake, wind, and flood.

In addition to diversifying the risks, the reinsurers also can slice off some of the risk into insurance-linked securities — including weather derivatives sometimes known as “catastrophe bonds.” The probability of an event happening and the likely cost of the event are rated by several specialty companies then bought and sold by financial investors — who have zero knowledge of or interest in your particular home or city — who can be paid to accept financial exposure of a defined nature for a fixed period of time in the event that one of the named events occurs.

This means we have a situation where whoever is buying or selling the risk is multiple steps away from the actual property.

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Calm

But it’s hard to be calm when we’re in a state of mindless scrolling or when we’re interrupted by notifications. Especially news and social notifications.

If you can watch yourself as you interact with your phone, iPad, TV – watch even for a few seconds – you’ll very likely find yourself physically tense and mentally anxious.

And you’ll see how far from calm we are most of our day.

How much of the unhelpful behaviours that the tweet mentions – casual combativeness, compulsive competitiveness – are simply because we can’t help ourselves use our phones?

It sounds crazy. And it is.

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Writing daily

The entrepreneur Rajesh Jain on why he writes daily. When I discovered Rajesh’s blog in the early 2000s, he used to publish multiple posts daily. It got me into writing on my site, writing to him, and ultimately working with him for nearly half a decade.

I have reproduced three of his paragraphs as-is – editing does them no justice. Any emphasis is mine:

Writing is a way for me to organise my thinking. I have never bothered about who is reading. I write for myself. But I write publicly – as a sort of record of what I am thinking. I have never deleted or retracted any post that I have written. I have changed my views over time on many topics, but I have let the writings stay. Each post has a context – it is at a date and time. I try and be as candid in my writings as is possible. Because if I cannot be honest, then there is no point in blogging.

I write daily because it inculcates a discipline. I like the idea of short posts daily rather a long essay periodically. There is something new to look forward from me each day! And just maybe, this blog can become a utility in the lives of others – a daily habit. That is what it had become for many in the first decade of my writing.

Writing daily is a process of self-discovery. It makes me think how I should express myself. It makes me clarify my own thought process. It makes me little better each day. And I hope that process continues!


(Featured image photo credit: Thought Catalog/Unsplash)

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The Verge:

The MacBook Air is now only available with Apple silicon chips. It’s no longer possible to buy a MacBook Air with an Intel CPU.

That was fast.